Paulino lifts Marlins to series win over Rockies

Baseball Betting Lines

07/22/2010 - Miami, FL (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Ronny Paulino knocked in the game-winning run in the bottom of the ninth to give the Marlins a 3-2 win to finish out a four- game series with the Rockies.

Emilio Bonifacio tripled to deep center over the head of Dexter Fowler to start the inning, and Paulino promptly punched the game-winning hit to shallow right as the Marlins took three out of four in the series.

Josh Johnson continued his strong run despite receiving a no-decision, striking out 11 in 6 1/3 innings and yielding just one run on five hits with a single walk.

Leo Nunez (4-2) struck out the side in the top of the ninth and received the win, while Gaby Sanchez provided a pair of hits and drove in a run.

Jhoulys Chacin (5-8) was saddled with the loss, walking two and giving up two hits while failing to record an out. Jason Giambi's RBI single tied it in the eighth for Colorado, which lost for the sixth time in eight games.

Jorge De La Rosa made an encouraging start after two clunkers, holding the Fish to three hits and two runs with eight strikeouts in six innings.

It didn't start out that way, though, after De La Rosa walked Chris Coghlan to start the game and Sanchez doubled to left-center two batters later for a 1-0 lead.

Ian Stewart evened the score with a solo shot to right-center in the second inning, but Cody Ross got the run right back with a leadoff blast to left in the Marlins' next at-bat.

Things settled down from there as both starters worked effectively through the middle frames until Johnson ran into a spot of trouble in the seventh.

After Stewart struck out to start the inning, Ryan Spilborghs doubled, and Miguel Olivo's base hit left runners at the corners. Jose Veras came in and fanned Clint Barmes, but Brad Hawpe drew a pinch-hit walk to load the bases.

Seth Smith lined back to Veras to end the inning, but Clay Hensley entered in the eighth and coughed up the narrow lead. Jonathan Herrera doubled leading off, and Giambi lined a single to center for a 2-2 game.

Hensley settled down to induce a 6-4-3 double-play from Stewart after plunking Melvin Mora, and Spilborghs grounded out to end the inning. Coghlan singled off Joe Beimel to begin the Florida eighth, but Rafael Betancourt came on to get Dan Uggla on a fly out to strand Coghlan at second.

Game Notes

Johnson, the major league's leader in earned run average at 1.61 after Thursday's start, was seeking a third straight win and has allowed just two runs over his last four starts totaling 26 1/3 innings. The right-hander hasn't allowed more than two runs in any of his last 13 starts...The Rockies took two of three from the Marlins at home from April 24-25...Giambi and Spilborghs had two hits apiece for Colorado.

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Pacific-10 Conference odds

Teams that should be in: Stanford

Oregon and USC get their tickets punched after taking care of business this weekend. Yes, the Trojans' computer numbers aren't great, but there's no way the third-place team in this league is getting nixed. Grudgingly, I added Arizona after consultation with our Bracketologist. I don't know that Arizona will lose its last three (including a Pac-10 quarterfinal game), and even if the Cats do, I still can't see how they'd be left out, given the overall profile. That said, it bears watching, as three more L's would leave them at 18-12 (9-9) and on a 6-11 skid entering the Dance. It would be nice to see the Wildcats get at least one W in the Bay Area next week, as Cincinnati (albeit without Armein Kirkland and with a worse profile) was axed after a similar slide last season. I just couldn't rationalize having some of the other teams as locks and not having Arizona in that category -- there just aren't enough good teams behind the Cats to threaten their spot, it seems. Stanford has its fate in its own hands with the Arizona schools coming to the Farm to close out the regular season next weekend.

Should be in:

Stanford [17-10 (9-7), RPI: 40, SOS: 21] No shame in not getting a win in L.A., but that makes the home game against Arizona State a must-win ahead of what could be an intriguing meeting with Arizona should the Cats lose at Cal. Getting to 11 Pac-10 wins would make Selection Sunday much more comfortable, but 10's probably more than enough this season. The Cardinal have nonconference wins over Texas Tech and at Virginia to lean on, although they also lost badly to Air Force and Santa Clara at home.

Southeastern Conference odds
Work left to do: Alabama, Georgia, Mississippi, Mississippi State

It looks more and more possible that no one from the SEC West will make the NCAAs. How weird is that? Tennessee and Vandy move into the locks category after more good work this weekend. Kentucky stays there, although it would be smart for the Cats to handle Georgia at home Wednesday ahead of a trip to the Swamp. Could a disaster scenario (two more L's and a first-round SEC tourney exit) somehow dislodge the Cats despite their incredible computer numbers? Still unlikely, but not worth chancing it.

Work left to do:

Alabama [19-9 (6-8), RPI: 43, SOS: 47] The tough L at Tennessee was understandable, and even created some hope. Unfortunately, that hope was dashed by a home loss to Auburn, which leaves the Tide in some real trouble. There's still no signature win on the profile (no, Kentucky doesn't count), and the computer profile is weakening rapidly. The Tide conceivably could beat Ole Miss and win at Miss. State to get to 8-8 and clinch at least a share of the West crown, but that's probably not enough right now. The Tide will need to do some work in the SEC tourney.

Georgia [16-10 (8-6), RPI: 52, SOS: 23] This is the team with the best chance to make it from this section right now. The Bulldogs rebounded from a terrible performance at Ole Miss to beat down Miss. State. Now they are at Kentucky (king of the RPI 51-100 win) and home to Tennessee. That would be worth a lot of computer points to get both (which is doable), as both teams are in the top 11 in RPI. Finishing at least 9-7 is an absolute must, and I would feel much better about the Dawgs' chances if they got both to get to 10 SEC wins. They also beat Gonzaga, but lost to ACC bubblers Georgia Tech and Clemson.

Mississippi [18-10 (7-7), RPI: 63, SOS: 79] Like everyone else in this division, Ole Miss gacked up a chance to stake a claim, losing by double figures at South Carolina. Even 9-7 likely is not nearly enough with a nonconference profile devoid of anything notable.

Mississippi State [16-11 (7-7), RPI: 66, SOS: 37] With a chance to get in the mix, these Bulldogs were leashed by their Georgia counterparts. Could they get to 9-7? I guess -- although winning at Arkansas, then beating Alabama is no lock -- but would that mean all that much for a team with this overall profile? Probably not. There's nothing of note (on the good side) in the nonconference profile.

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